HDZ leads in central and southern Dalmatia, while SDP is the most popular party in the second constituency.
RTL and Jutarnji List have continued with their polls of ten parliamentary constituencies. On Monday evening, they announced results of a poll for the tenth constituency, which covers central and southern Dalmatia, including Split and Dubrovnik.
At last year’s elections, HDZ coalition received the highest level of support (41.5 percent; 7 seats), followed by SDP coalition (28.9 percent; 4 seats), and MOST (18.4 percent; 3 seats).
According to the poll, 61 percent of voters in this constituency plan to vote on 11 September. Among those who will vote, HDZ would win 36.6 percent of vote, SDP coalition 26.2 percent, and MOST 14.7 percent. Živi Zid with 3.4 percent and Pametno Party with 3.1 percent of support are below the five percent electoral threshold. Looking at seats in Parliament, HDZ would win 7 seats, SDP coalition 5 seats, and MOST 2 seat.
While difference between HDZ and SDP coalition is similar to last year, MOST would receive substantially less votes and would lose one seat in Parliament to SDP coalition. This is the key constituency for MOST since its leader Božo Petrov was Mayor of Metković and its base is located in southern Dalmatia.
After RTL polls conducted in six of ten constituencies, HDZ has the same number of seats as in last Parliament, SDP coalition has three seats more and MOST has three seats less than at elections last year.
Croatian Radio Television (HRT) has released a poll for the second constituency (eastern part of Zagreb, Zagreb County, Koprivnica-Križevci County, Bjelovar-Bilogora County).
At last year’s elections, HDZ coalition received 33.4 percent of vote (6 seats), followed by SDP coalition (32.5 percent; 5 seats), MOST (13.1 percent; 2 seats), and Zagreb Mayor Milan Bandić’s party (7.9 percent; 1 seat). Živi Zid was at 4.6 percent and did not reach the electoral threshold.
According to the poll, SDP coalition would win 31.3 percent (7 seats), HDZ 24.7 percent (5 seats), MOST 8.0 percent (1 seat), and Živi Zid 4.3 percent (1 seat, expected to cross the threshold due to a high number of undecided voters).
It is evident that SDP has gained significantly in comparison with last year’s elections. One of the reasons is the fact that its new coalition partner, HSS, is very strong in this constituency. In November last year, HSS was in a coalition with HDZ. Interestingly, Zagreb Mayor Milan Bandić, who is on a list of his party in this constituency, would not enter Parliament, which makes his prime ministerial “candidacy” rather unlikely.
After HRT polls conducted in three of ten constituencies, SDP has four seats more than last year, Živi Zid has two seats more, HDZ has two seats less, MOST has two seats less, and Reformist Party/Bandić Milan 365 Party has two seats less.
