Croatian Elections: Polls Show HDZ Getting Stronger

Total Croatia News

The latest political opinion polls as the parliamentary election draws nearer.

August has been a month marked by the termination of the arbitration agreement with Slovenia, the military parade and ceremonies in Knin on the occasion of the 20th anniversary of the Operation Storm, and good news about the tourist season. However, the ruling coalition has not profited. HDZ has actually increased its advantage, shows the Crobarometre poll for Nova TV that was conducted from 1 to 15 August by Ipsos Puls agency, reports Vecernji List on August 25, 2015.

HDZ currently has the support of 31.8 percent of voters, which is almost two percent more than the month before. SDP enjoys the support of 23.2 percent of voters, and has seen neither significant growth nor decline. It is interesting that in the last three months HDZ has increased its lead from 3 to 9 percent. Taking into account the margin of error, in the worst case scenario, HDZ could now count on 28.4 percent of voters, and in the best case scenario on 35.2 percent of voters. The support for SDP is between 20.1 percent and 26.3 percent.

Živi Zid has declined to 5 percent, while a month before it was at 6 percent support. ORaH has fallen below 5 percent threshold and currently enjoys the support of 4.1 percent of voters. Bandić 365 Party is at 3.6 percent, the Most Association at 2.9 percent, HSS at 2 percent, and HNS at 1.9 percent. Right behind them are Reformists led by Radimir Cačić at 1.9 percent, followed by BuZ, Forward Croatia and Labour Party, all with support of 1.7 percent. The Istrian party IDS has 1.5 percent of votes, HSP 1.3 and HSU 1.3 percent.

Since the elections are getting closer, the number of undecided voters has been falling and currently stands at 9 percent. Four months ago, there was 14 percent of undecided voters.

Taking into account possible and probable coalitions, the right-wing Patriotic Coalition enjoys the support of 34 percent of voters, while the ruling left-wing coalition currently can count on 28.2 percent of votes.

Currently, 26 percent of voters say that Croatia is going in the right direction, which is the first time in several months that there is no growth in support. The number of those who think that Croatia is heading in the wrong direction is currently at 65 percent. Government policies are supported by 29 percent of voters, while 61 percent of voters do not agree with the ruling coalition’s policies.

On the scale from 1 to 5, president Kolinda Grabar-Kitarović obtained an average mark of 3.28 for her job performance. The average mark for the government is 2.27, roughly the same as last month, while the Croatian Parliament has increased its average score to 2.19.


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